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Red10
14183.9
12210.8
14498.7
Blue18
18495.1
19346.6
39915.9
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions213104060801001201018

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
122
Unranked
10.80.6
8.27.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.1
399
Unranked
15.91.0
17.316.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1449
Unranked
8.71.0
9.68.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.1
1934
Unranked
6.61.0
6.95.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1418
Unranked
3.91.0
4.43.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.2
1849
Unranked
5.11.0
5.74.7
Auto
Teleop
End