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Red46
18207.6
105112.2
30316.4
Blue25
14464.1
12189.5
8368.2
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3718060804625

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
303
Unranked
16.40.5
16.917.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.9
1218
Unranked
9.50.2
8.89.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1051
Unranked
12.20.9
11.412.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.0
836
Unranked
8.20.2
8.28.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1820
Unranked
7.60.9
6.87.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.5
1446
Unranked
4.10.3
3.84.1
Auto
Teleop
End