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Red45
7688.7
162920.6
22519.2
Blue5
77.7
6117.3
5628.0
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50520100150200455

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1629
Unranked
20.60.3
20.820.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.4
56
Unranked
28.02.3
30.928.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
225
Unranked
19.20.3
20.420.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.5
7
Unranked
7.73.6
11.37.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
768
Unranked
8.70.4
9.18.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.4
611
Unranked
7.32.3
9.77.3
Auto
Teleop
End