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Red0
20310.6
6866.0
11951.6
Blue4
1653.3
12189.5
18495.1
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2018040608010004

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
203
Unranked
10.61.7
6.54.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.1
1218
Unranked
9.51.0
7.36.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
686
Unranked
6.01.7
7.66.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.9
1849
Unranked
5.10.3
5.14.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1195
Unranked
1.61.7
5.94.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.7
165
Unranked
3.31.0
4.73.7
Auto
Teleop
End