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Red38
39915.9
19334.1
17199.1
Blue9
61210.5
17918.4
6149.6
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27350206080100120140389

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
399
Unranked
15.90.8
16.317.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.4
612
Unranked
10.51.2
11.710.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1719
Unranked
9.10.8
8.49.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
614
Unranked
9.61.9
11.69.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1933
Unranked
4.10.8
3.34.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.3
1791
Unranked
8.41.9
10.38.4
Auto
Teleop
End