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Red58
7023.3
45125.0
50313.4
Blue55
150913.2
6716.3
10717.5
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6244020801001205855

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
451
Unranked
25.00.0
24.424.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.5
107
Unranked
17.50.1
17.417.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
70
Unranked
23.30.0
22.622.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.0
67
Unranked
16.30.1
16.116.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
503
Unranked
13.40.0
12.812.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
1509
Unranked
13.20.1
13.113.2
Auto
Teleop
End