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Red40
80815.7
57317.8
5159.4
Blue50
125612.3
3315.2
23416.2
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions434802060801004050

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
573
Unranked
17.80.1
18.118.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.5
234
Unranked
16.20.0
17.517.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
808
Unranked
15.70.1
16.015.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
33
Unranked
15.20.0
16.416.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
515
Unranked
9.40.1
9.89.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.8
1256
Unranked
12.30.1
13.913.9
Auto
Teleop
End