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Red76
30213.6
57317.8
10717.5
Blue33
49427.1
5159.4
9047.0
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions385502060801007633

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
573
Unranked
17.82.0
14.516.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.4
494
Unranked
27.11.0
32.932.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
107
Unranked
17.51.8
15.116.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.1
515
Unranked
9.41.0
9.38.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
302
Unranked
13.61.8
10.712.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.6
904
Unranked
7.01.1
10.29.1
Auto
Teleop
End