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Red83
80815.7
20116.8
57317.8
Blue27
3147.3
3315.2
85821.1
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions424702060801001208327

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
573
Unranked
17.82.0
16.518.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.4
858
Unranked
21.11.0
17.016.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
201
Unranked
16.82.0
12.414.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.6
33
Unranked
15.21.0
19.718.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
808
Unranked
15.72.0
13.715.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.4
314
Unranked
7.31.0
10.09.0
Auto
Teleop
End