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Red32
64817.8
100015.5
16026.7
Blue65
23416.2
32611.7
80815.7
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38391020305060703265

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
648
Unranked
17.80.3
15.715.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.6
234
Unranked
16.21.3
12.714.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1000
Unranked
15.50.3
14.514.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
808
Unranked
15.71.3
16.517.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1602
Unranked
6.70.3
8.07.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.0
326
Unranked
11.71.3
9.711.0
Auto
Teleop
End