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Red81
20116.8
12275.2
64817.8
Blue30
50313.4
7023.3
5159.4
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30500204060801008130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
648
Unranked
17.82.4
15.417.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.5
70
Unranked
23.30.9
23.822.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
201
Unranked
16.82.4
14.917.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.3
503
Unranked
13.40.9
14.813.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1227
Unranked
5.23.8
1.95.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.2
515
Unranked
9.40.9
8.98.1
Auto
Teleop
End