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Red59
16545.3
64817.8
3147.3
Blue25
15066.5
10717.5
16749.2
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33270204060801005925

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
648
Unranked
17.81.4
16.317.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
107
Unranked
17.50.1
15.215.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
314
Unranked
7.31.4
10.712.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.9
1674
Unranked
9.20.2
7.77.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1654
Unranked
5.31.5
4.76.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.2
1506
Unranked
6.50.1
4.74.6
Auto
Teleop
End