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Red30
18271.2
14516.2
12089.9
Blue25
17944.4
144416.5
18537.1
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19210103040503025

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1208
Unranked
9.90.9
6.77.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.6
1444
Unranked
16.50.3
9.29.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1451
Unranked
6.20.9
6.97.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.9
1853
Unranked
7.10.9
7.16.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1827
Unranked
1.25.6
1.26.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.3
1794
Unranked
4.41.8
4.46.3
Auto
Teleop
End