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Red26
19055.1
16666.3
7118.2
Blue4
17634.3
18537.1
11787.0
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions382106080100264

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
71
Unranked
18.20.8
17.817.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.0
1853
Unranked
7.11.6
7.55.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1666
Unranked
6.30.8
8.27.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
1178
Unranked
7.01.6
7.66.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1905
Unranked
5.10.8
9.78.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.8
1763
Unranked
4.31.6
7.96.3
Auto
Teleop
End