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Red19
160910.1
17944.4
17111.8
Blue39
128817.6
132912.4
10983.5
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2628010204050601939

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
171
Unranked
11.80.6
10.810.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.8
1288
Unranked
17.61.0
11.412.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1609
Unranked
10.10.6
10.09.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.3
1329
Unranked
12.41.0
10.411.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1794
Unranked
4.40.6
5.14.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.9
1098
Unranked
3.51.0
5.66.5
Auto
Teleop
End