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Red10
65011.0
18735.6
14516.2
Blue34
16666.3
12089.9
90919.2
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions23340103040506070801034

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
650
Unranked
11.01.2
13.111.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.2
909
Unranked
19.20.1
16.416.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1451
Unranked
6.21.2
3.82.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.7
1208
Unranked
9.90.1
9.39.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1873
Unranked
5.61.2
7.86.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.8
1666
Unranked
6.30.1
7.47.5
Auto
Teleop
End