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Red64
160910.1
131514.9
109414.2
Blue14
18047.9
17763.4
65011.0
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions332701020405060706414

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1315
Unranked
14.92.1
12.214.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.0
650
Unranked
11.00.9
11.510.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1094
Unranked
14.22.1
11.013.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.3
1804
Unranked
7.90.9
10.79.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1609
Unranked
10.12.1
8.610.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.7
1776
Unranked
3.40.9
5.54.6
Auto
Teleop
End