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Red5
17763.4
18259.1
160910.1
Blue3
1611.3
19102.0
90919.2
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions23400608010053

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1609
Unranked
10.11.2
10.89.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.0
909
Unranked
19.22.1
21.319.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1825
Unranked
9.11.2
10.08.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.2
16
Unranked
11.32.1
12.09.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1776
Unranked
3.41.2
4.63.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.5
1910
Unranked
2.02.1
4.62.4
Auto
Teleop
End