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Red50
54712.9
90919.2
7118.2
Blue23
131514.9
109414.2
18735.6
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions533502060801001205023

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
909
Unranked
19.20.0
19.219.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.3
1315
Unranked
14.90.8
15.714.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
71
Unranked
18.20.0
18.218.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.9
1094
Unranked
14.20.8
15.014.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
547
Unranked
12.90.0
12.912.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.4
1873
Unranked
5.60.8
6.35.6
Auto
Teleop
End