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Red36
172711.3
100622.7
148111.0
Blue67
115510.9
12217.7
150340.6
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions437401001502003667

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1006
Unranked
22.70.5
23.222.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 18.0
1503
Unranked
40.60.1
40.039.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1727
Unranked
11.30.5
11.911.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.3
122
Unranked
17.70.1
18.918.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1481
Unranked
11.00.5
11.511.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
1155
Unranked
10.90.1
11.110.9
Auto
Teleop
End