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Red6
191817.7
16016.6
34010.1
Blue27
49220.5
19778.4
19514.9
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31420206080100627

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1918
Unranked
17.71.5
16.515.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.7
492
Unranked
20.50.7
22.221.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
340
Unranked
10.11.3
8.77.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.9
195
Unranked
14.91.1
9.88.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1601
Unranked
6.61.3
6.85.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.8
1977
Unranked
8.40.8
8.57.8
Auto
Teleop
End