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Red26
172711.3
12815.8
15110.2
Blue4
1840.9
18109.8
86813.8
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28240406080100120140160264

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1727
Unranked
11.30.1
11.811.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.5
868
Unranked
13.81.0
13.712.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
151
Unranked
10.20.1
11.010.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
1810
Unranked
9.81.0
9.78.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1281
Unranked
5.80.1
5.04.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.9
184
Unranked
0.91.0
1.20.2
Auto
Teleop
End