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Red54
118811.5
140213.6
168511.5
Blue19
47610.0
2237.4
39713.4
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions313301020405060705419

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1402
Unranked
13.61.2
10.812.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
397
Unranked
13.40.7
15.715.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1188
Unranked
11.51.2
10.011.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.5
476
Unranked
10.00.7
8.78.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1685
Unranked
11.51.2
10.111.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.1
223
Unranked
7.40.8
8.77.9
Auto
Teleop
End