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Red68
15110.2
23614.9
98742.4
Blue57
11137.8
8522.3
32226.4
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63960501506857

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
987
Unranked
42.40.0
41.041.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.7
111
Unranked
37.81.7
38.236.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
236
Unranked
14.90.0
15.715.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.5
322
Unranked
26.41.7
26.124.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
151
Unranked
10.20.0
10.910.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.2
85
Unranked
22.31.7
27.525.8
Auto
Teleop
End