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Red42
66218.3
23614.9
5145.8
Blue37
49220.5
5464.6
172711.3
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions394302060804237

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
662
Unranked
18.30.1
18.118.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.1
492
Unranked
20.50.3
22.121.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
236
Unranked
14.90.2
15.715.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.6
1727
Unranked
11.30.3
12.011.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
514
Unranked
5.80.1
5.75.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.2
546
Unranked
4.60.5
8.37.9
Auto
Teleop
End