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Red6
16016.6
46112.4
37915.3
Blue47
34825.6
172711.3
15418.2
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36460206080100120647

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
379
Unranked
15.31.6
17.415.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.4
348
Unranked
25.60.1
24.925.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
461
Unranked
12.41.6
13.511.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.0
1727
Unranked
11.30.1
11.811.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1601
Unranked
6.61.6
6.65.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.6
1541
Unranked
8.20.1
8.08.1
Auto
Teleop
End