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Red43
10338.9
191817.7
17616.5
Blue2
6129.5
7145.1
112415.0
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46300206080100120140160432

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1918
Unranked
17.70.1
16.716.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.7
1124
Unranked
15.02.5
15.412.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
176
Unranked
16.50.1
18.918.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.0
612
Unranked
9.51.5
10.59.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1033
Unranked
8.90.1
8.48.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.9
714
Unranked
5.11.5
5.74.2
Auto
Teleop
End