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Red18
4917.5
4407.4
84610.1
Blue25
5464.6
52716.1
148111.0
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36371020305060701825

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49
Unranked
17.51.0
18.217.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.4
527
Unranked
16.10.6
16.415.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
846
Unranked
10.11.0
10.69.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.8
1481
Unranked
11.00.6
12.211.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
440
Unranked
7.41.0
8.47.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.7
546
Unranked
4.61.0
7.96.9
Auto
Teleop
End