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Red54
29620.9
15126.9
18318.6
Blue0
2877.7
1769.9
172111.8
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17270406080100540

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
296
#7
20.92.9
8.411.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.1
1721
#39
11.82.2
7.65.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1831
#35
8.62.9
5.98.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.3
176
#31
9.92.2
10.48.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1512
#36
6.92.9
4.47.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.9
287
#45
7.72.2
8.26.0
Auto
Teleop
End