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Red8
18247.5
135010.4
10586.6
Blue27
17212.9
113812.3
31911.1
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions25260102030405060827

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1350
#27
10.41.4
10.08.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.5
172
#17
12.90.1
10.810.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1824
#41
7.51.4
7.05.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.8
12.30.1
8.48.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1058
#44
6.61.4
8.46.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.5
319
#10
11.10.1
6.16.3
Auto
Teleop
End