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Red22
1319.8
4214.3
15687.4
Blue7
15126.9
18247.5
130710.8
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions392006080100120140227

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42
#12
14.31.3
12.611.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.5
1307
#23
10.81.3
10.08.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
131
#18
9.81.3
10.39.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.3
1824
#41
7.51.3
5.54.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1568
#43
7.41.3
14.313.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
1512
#36
6.91.3
7.25.9
Auto
Teleop
End