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Red52
18247.5
172111.8
4014.8
Blue20
1668.5
66315.5
13814.4
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions233304060805220

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40
#24
14.82.3
12.514.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.7
663
#20
15.51.0
11.810.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1721
#39
11.82.3
7.19.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.6
138
#5
14.41.0
14.113.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1824
#41
7.52.3
4.26.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.1
166
#34
8.51.0
5.84.9
Auto
Teleop
End