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Red16
18318.6
3504.9
1319.8
Blue2
12897.4
2417.3
1255.5
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions272810203040162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
131
#18
9.80.9
11.310.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.4
1289
#49
7.42.1
8.86.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1831
#35
8.60.9
8.07.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.3
241
#42
7.32.1
10.18.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
350
#22
4.90.9
7.66.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
125
#33
5.52.1
8.76.6
Auto
Teleop
End