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Red61
81119.5
56216.4
8856.4
Blue65
4214.3
4014.8
31911.1
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions273701020506070806165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
811
#19
19.52.7
13.716.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.8
40
#24
14.82.5
14.817.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
562
#16
16.42.7
11.914.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.1
42
#12
14.32.5
11.714.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
885
#46
6.42.7
2.65.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.6
319
#10
11.12.5
9.011.4
Auto
Teleop
End