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Red34
113812.3
1668.5
12477.4
Blue13
21313.1
5294.3
15687.4
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2727010203040503413

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
12.30.5
10.911.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.8
213
#38
13.11.1
12.711.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
166
#34
8.50.5
8.79.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.2
1568
#43
7.41.0
8.47.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1247
#40
7.40.6
7.88.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.1
529
#51
4.31.0
5.24.2
Auto
Teleop
End