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Red15
11878.6
3359.7
127918.0
Blue1
12187.3
15637.4
19312.3
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2225010304050607080151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1279
Unranked
18.00.6
10.09.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.6
1563
Unranked
7.41.9
6.24.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
335
Unranked
9.70.6
6.15.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.4
1218
Unranked
7.31.9
12.210.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1187
Unranked
8.60.6
5.95.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.3
1931
Unranked
2.31.7
2.34.0
Auto
Teleop
End