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Red38
22310.6
2536.6
16173.4
Blue16
16721.5
759.9
8711.0
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2728010204050603816

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25
Unranked
36.60.9
13.214.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 25.6
87
Unranked
11.00.9
9.99.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
223
Unranked
10.60.9
9.210.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.7
75
Unranked
9.90.9
10.59.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1617
Unranked
3.40.9
4.95.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.9
1672
Unranked
1.50.9
6.65.7
Auto
Teleop
End