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Qual 242006 New Jersey Regional
Red20
22516.1
18137.6
5500.2
Blue8
108915.1
138210.7
4335.7
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2531020406080100120208

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
225
Unranked
16.10.5
10.6→10.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 1.0
1089
Unranked
15.11.9
11.1→9.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1813
Unranked
7.60.5
8.5→8.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 3.1
1382
Unranked
10.71.9
11.4→9.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
550
Unranked
0.20.5
6.9→6.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 5.5
433
Unranked
5.71.9
7.9→6.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—