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Red33
18608.3
22411.7
8711.0
Blue13
16164.9
2192.8
13610.6
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions291904060801003313

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
224
Unranked
11.70.4
13.013.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.1
136
Unranked
10.60.6
9.08.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
87
Unranked
11.00.4
10.410.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.0
1616
Unranked
4.90.6
2.72.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1860
Unranked
8.30.4
4.34.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.5
219
Unranked
2.80.6
8.47.8
Auto
Teleop
End