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Red10
11878.6
16767.5
16173.4
Blue17
13674.6
14956.9
6133.6
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions221604060801001017

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1187
Unranked
8.61.0
5.84.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.7
1495
Unranked
6.90.1
6.06.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1676
Unranked
7.51.0
8.17.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.0
1367
Unranked
4.60.1
4.84.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1617
Unranked
3.41.0
7.66.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
613
Unranked
3.60.1
5.65.7
Auto
Teleop
End