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Red17
16891.6
12187.3
13610.6
Blue9
12283.6
8964.0
13028.6
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22150406080100120179

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
136
Unranked
10.60.3
8.48.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.0
1302
Unranked
8.60.5
7.26.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1218
Unranked
7.30.3
7.97.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.3
896
Unranked
4.00.5
2.41.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1689
Unranked
1.60.3
4.84.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.1
1228
Unranked
3.60.5
6.05.4
Auto
Teleop
End