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Red23
16767.5
8692.9
108915.1
Blue37
3359.7
22516.1
8964.0
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions272901020405060702337

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1089
Unranked
15.10.4
14.914.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.0
225
Unranked
16.10.7
16.917.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1676
Unranked
7.50.4
8.78.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.2
335
Unranked
9.70.7
8.89.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
869
Unranked
2.90.4
4.64.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.1
896
Unranked
4.00.7
2.43.2
Auto
Teleop
End