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Qual 752006 New Jersey Regional
Red14
16891.6
37522.1
18813.7
Blue5
15637.4
5500.2
48622.0
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30380206080100145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
375
Unranked
22.11.3
22.9→21.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 0.1
486
Unranked
22.02.5
24.0→21.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1881
Unranked
3.71.3
5.1→3.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 3.6
1563
Unranked
7.42.6
10.0→7.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
1689
Unranked
1.61.3
2.9→1.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 1.4
550
Unranked
0.22.5
2.6→0.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—