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Red12
22411.7
8692.9
22310.6
Blue2
6133.6
6377.1
12283.6
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30160104050607080122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
224
Unranked
11.71.2
12.911.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.6
637
Unranked
7.11.2
8.37.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
223
Unranked
10.61.2
10.99.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.0
1228
Unranked
3.61.2
4.93.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
869
Unranked
2.91.2
4.12.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.7
613
Unranked
3.61.2
4.83.6
Auto
Teleop
End