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Red16
14573.1
5557.2
23018.8
Blue1
16823.8
59710.9
16417.4
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2423010304050607080161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
230
Unranked
18.80.7
9.69.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.9
597
Unranked
10.91.2
11.610.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
555
Unranked
7.20.5
9.08.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
1641
Unranked
7.41.1
7.96.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1457
Unranked
3.10.7
5.34.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.7
1682
Unranked
3.81.2
3.72.5
Auto
Teleop
End