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Red5
15157.0
14573.1
16615.8
Blue50
16314.3
23018.8
157211.5
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1622010304050550

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1515
Unranked
7.00.6
6.86.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.7
230
Unranked
18.82.4
9.011.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1661
Unranked
5.80.6
5.85.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.7
1572
Unranked
11.51.4
9.410.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1457
Unranked
3.11.0
4.63.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.2
1631
Unranked
4.32.4
2.95.3
Auto
Teleop
End