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Red32
14258.6
88.5
15562.9
Blue7
19114.1
17807.6
16696.8
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16150102030405060327

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1425
Unranked
8.60.8
7.17.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.0
1780
Unranked
7.60.7
6.45.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
8
Unranked
8.50.8
7.58.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.7
1669
Unranked
6.80.7
4.53.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1556
Unranked
2.91.4
1.22.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.2
1911
Unranked
4.10.7
4.13.4
Auto
Teleop
End