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Red3
19114.1
137212.2
5557.2
Blue23
4733.3
16314.3
58519.5
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22280406080323

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1372
Unranked
12.21.6
10.89.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.3
585
Unranked
19.50.4
17.216.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
555
Unranked
7.21.0
8.67.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.9
1631
Unranked
4.30.4
4.03.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1911
Unranked
4.11.6
3.21.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.8
473
Unranked
3.30.4
6.15.7
Auto
Teleop
End