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Red14
19067.3
88.5
15562.9
Blue12
14283.6
4733.3
9890.6
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2390304050601412

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8
Unranked
8.50.3
8.27.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.8
1428
Unranked
3.60.1
4.04.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1906
Unranked
7.30.5
8.47.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.0
473
Unranked
3.30.1
5.75.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1556
Unranked
2.90.5
4.43.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.2
989
Unranked
0.60.1
1.11.2
Auto
Teleop
End