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Red50
39915.5
87717.3
16417.4
Blue38
14258.6
16615.8
58519.5
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions423102060805038

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
877
Unranked
17.30.6
17.618.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.2
585
Unranked
19.50.4
19.720.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
399
Unranked
15.50.5
15.816.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.9
1425
Unranked
8.60.3
7.07.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1641
Unranked
7.40.5
7.17.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.6
1661
Unranked
5.80.3
5.55.8
Auto
Teleop
End